Seven Propositions

One. You reason by modeling the world. The model is not the world.

Two. A model is made of assumptions. Assumptions are not seen, only used.

Three. Most assumptions are unstable. Their instability is hidden by use.

Four. A model filters what counts as evidence. Contradiction becomes noise.

Five. Belief forms when contradiction is no longer felt. Certainty follows.

Six. The model cannot expose itself. Observation loops through expectation.

Seven. To see the system, you must leave the system. Someone else must point.

Neil Bearden

Neil Bearden

What I Do

I hold a PhD in psychology and was a tenured professor of Decision Science at INSEAD.

I taught statistics and storytelling — structure and inference, signal and frame.

Now I work with people whose models must be right. I help them see what their thinking cannot see about itself.

I work by referral only. If we’re a fit, you already know someone who can connect us.